Arizona polling outfit OH Predictive released a poll last week on the Arizona Governor’s race and many were surprised.
Kari Lake the Trump endorsed candidate in the race is already losing support. More traditional republican candidates, businesswoman Karrin Taylor Robson and former lobbyist and congressman Matt Salmon are picking up steam. They’ve added 5-6 pts each over the last few months. With that being said the majority are still unsure and its anybody’s race. However, these are indications of how this race will turn out.
Money is going to be a major factor as well. Below are the most recent fundraising numbers. Unfortunate again for the Kari Lake campaign, they are also struggling in this area. Below shows that Kari Lake burned through most of her campaign cash already. Why that matters is because she is going to have a tough time defining herself. Steve Gaynor on the other hand waited until the last minute to donate $5 million to his efforts and could be the dark horse candidate in the race. Compare his $5,000,000 and Karrin Taylor Robson’s $3,000,000 to Matt Salmon’s $500,000 and Kari Lake’s $300,000. The big difference in campaign cash is going to have a major impact on who can stay alive in this competitive battle.
Many candidates are looking to distinguish themselves in the race while they simultaneously define their opponents. With Steve Gaynor’s large commitment we could see the mud start flying. On social media we have already seen the campaigns go after Lake for her previous support of Obama and Kerry, Salmon for his lobbying and Steve Gaynor and Karrin Taylor Robson for being outsiders with no political experience.
It’s still early though and a lot can happen but we’ll keep you posted.