It’s too early to make predictions in the Arizona Gubernatorial Race but it is starting to look like a two person one between Karrin Taylor Robson the businesswoman and Kari Lake the news anchor.
Recent polling done by Data Orbital, an Arizona based polling firm with ties to Kari Lake, shows that Karrin Taylor Robson has had the largest and fastest increase from 6.5% in February 2022 to 21.5% this month. Kari Lake, the front runner is also losing support which is making the race a tighter one. Kari Lake started with 40% in February and has since fallen to 35.2%. Matt Salmon also saw significant decreases falling from 17.5% to 11.9% and Steve Gaynor has remained relatively unknown and in last place hovering around 7%.
While this is still early in the 2022 election cycle the trends are starting to show Karrin Taylor Robson building momentum and Kari losing it. The polling trend follows the money trend closely. During the last reporting period Karrin Taylor Robson reported $3,000,000 cash on hand and Kari Lake reported only $370,000 cash on hand. Polling and fundraising are two of the most important factors in political races.