Tag: AZGOV

Big Changes in AZ Gov Race Poll: Trump Candidate Kari Lake Sinking

On By AZ ConservativeIn Arizona, GovernorLeave a comment

Arizona polling outfit OH Predictive released a poll last week on the Arizona Governor’s race and many were surprised.

gop primary az jan 22

Kari Lake the Trump endorsed candidate in the race is already losing support. More traditional republican candidates, businesswoman Karrin Taylor Robson and former lobbyist and congressman Matt Salmon are picking up steam. They’ve added 5-6 pts each over the last few months. With that being said the majority are still unsure and its anybody’s race. However, these are indications of how this race will turn out.

Money is going to be a major factor as well. Below are the most recent fundraising numbers. Unfortunate again for the Kari Lake campaign, they are also struggling in this area. Below shows that Kari Lake burned through most of her campaign cash already. Why that matters is because she is going to have a tough time defining herself. Steve Gaynor on the other hand waited until the last minute to donate $5 million to his efforts and could be the dark horse candidate in the race. Compare his $5,000,000 and Karrin Taylor Robson’s $3,000,000 to Matt Salmon’s $500,000 and Kari Lake’s $300,000. The big difference in campaign cash is going to have a major impact on who can stay alive in this competitive battle.

Many candidates are looking to distinguish themselves in the race while they simultaneously define their opponents. With Steve Gaynor’s large commitment we could see the mud start flying. On social media we have already seen the campaigns go after Lake for her previous support of Obama and Kerry, Salmon for his lobbying and Steve Gaynor and Karrin Taylor Robson for being outsiders with no political experience.

It’s still early though and a lot can happen but we’ll keep you posted.

Digging In: Kari Lake Spends 55k on 10k fundraiser at Trump’s Mar-a-lago Resort

On By AZ ConservativeIn Arizona, Governor1 Comment

Last week Arizona gubernatorial candidates filed their first campaign finance reports. These reports detail the campaign’s contributions and expenditures. Every cycle media and pundits will dig through these reports to identify things that give insiders an indication of how well campaigns will fair in the future.

Most money spent on campaigns is used for what they call “Direct Voter Contact”. That’s your canvassing, phone banking and advertising. Of course there are always costs to your initial fundraising but you should make money off of every event. That is why some of the details in Kari Lake’s campaign finance report are causing so many concerns among her supporters.

The financial disclosure revealed many things about the campaign. Kari Lake is spending heavily on expensive consultants from DC, $145,000 on campaign merchandise and 52,000 on an event at mar-a-lago. That event is the one conservatives are scratching their head at.

When looking at the campaign finance reports it looks like Kari Lake raised only $9k for the over $50,000 event. One might say, “well not all events are successful” but this event was at attended by President Trump at his resort leading people to believe that either they don’t know how to fundraise effectively even with the President’s backing or that there is just not as much support for Kari Lake as some thought

The Governor’s race has several months to go and there are several MAGA candidates running. It will be important to pay attention to who is able to sustain fundraising through the second quarter and who isn’t. That and air time are the key factors at this time in the election cycle.

Gov Candidate Invests Big

On By AZ ConservativeIn Arizona, GovernorLeave a comment

Steve Gaynor, a republican candidate for Arizona Governor put a large sum of money in to his campaign. 5 million dollars to be exact and with almost all of it still on hand Gaynor now has more money available than the other campaigns combined.

The Gaynor campaign released the below graphic yesterday and it’s been making its rounds through the Arizona Republican Party back channels. Things should be heating up between these candidates soon.

Kari Lake Team Blowing Through Her Campaign Cash #AZGOV

On By AZ ConservativeIn UncategorizedLeave a comment

The Arizona Republican Gubernatorial candidates filed their first fundraising paperwork last week and there’s been a lot of discussion about what they mean to the race.

Table Credit: Dillon Rosenblatt @dillonreedrose

The most shocking numbers were Kari Lake’s and not in a good way. While the Trump endorsed candidate did raise just over $1.4 million she already burned through $1 million of it and not on the things people would expect them to. The campaign team which Kari says she is running herself (see below) but also seems to include Arizona Republican Party official Tyler Bowyer and political new comer Adel Belgaied, who despite registering to vote in 2008 will be voting in a primary for the first time ever this year, spent almost all of their campaign cash on consultants. The other $150,000 was spent on merchandise, mostly shirts and hats, $50,000 on eating out and another $52,000 at Trump’s Mar A Lago resort. Conservatives don’t normally react well to mismanaged finances in campaigns and these facts are going to create some doubt about this team’s ability to sustain a campaign.

Steve Gaynor and Karrin Taylor Robson came in with big sums; Gaynor with $ 5 million and Karrin with $3.7 million and $3 million cash on hand.

Kimberly Yee, a strong candidate normally, recently dropped out of the race to run for reelection as Arizona State Treasurer.

Matt Salmon, who now has more cash on hand than Kari Lake, isn’t inspiring many but has spent the last thirty years as either a lobbyist, a candidate or an elected official and is still a formidable candidate for people to watch out for.